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Learn Trading Forex, Trading Strategy, Forex Brokers, Forex Review, Forex Signals Sun, 13 Apr 2008 18:18:00 +0200 Candlestick charts show the same information as a bar chart, but in a prettier, graphic format. Candlestick bars still indicate the high-to-low range with a vertical line. However, in candlestick charting, the larger block in the middle indicates the range between the opening and closing prices. Traditionally, if the block in the middle is filled or colored in, then the currency closed lower than it opened.
Simple PatternsThere are multiple forms of candlestick chart patterns, with the simplest depicted at right. Here is a quick overview of their names:
Sun, 13 Apr 2008 17:37:00 +0200 Currency hedging refers to a strategy that strives to minimize the exposure to exchange rate fluctuations, thereby minimizing the uncertainty of future transactions denominated in a foreign currency and providing some stability to earnings and cash flow. This is typically accomplished through the use of options or futures contracts. Forward contracts can also be used to hedge currency risk. However, while forward contracts are superior to futures in terms of their overall risk reduction, there is no central market for forward contracts, which contributes to higher transaction costs and lower liquidity, as well as counterparty risk (i.e. the risk that the contract will not be honoured at expiration). When a business chooses to hedge its exposure to foreign currency, the objective is to minimize uncertainty, not to maximize profit from currency speculation. A hedged position will therefore not produce the benefit of a favourable exchange rate movement, but at the same time will not expose the hedger to the loss potential of an unfavourable exchange rate movement. The underlying principle of a hedging strategy is to construct a portfolio consisting of a long position in the foreign currency asset and a short position in a foreign currency asset such that gains on one offset losses on the other. This is achieved by using derivatives whose price movements are highly correlated with movements in the spot market. Ideally, the derivative being used to hedge will have the same underlying currency as the foreign currency asset being hedged, since the price movements of the two assets would be highly similar. Forward contracts give you a fixed cost for your foreign currency and therefore for your foreign currency purchasing. If the interest rates in the foreign country are higher than they are in the US, the forward rate is at a discount to the spot rate, and this reduces the dollar cost still more. Forward contracts also have the advantage of being suitable for internal transactions. If your company exports to the country you are buying in, and wants to sell in local currency, purchasing in local currency reduces the company's currency exposure. The purchasing flow of funds offsets the sales office flow of funds. If an internal forward agreement is made between the two departments, only the difference between the two flows needs to be hedged at banks. Options allow a buyer to take advantage of an increase in the value of the US dollar but protect against a decrease. Unfortunately, they are expensive. A six month option on a volatile currency typically costs about 5% and most people choose not to buy them. An added difficulty is that option prices for the European style options that buyers need are not well listed in financial newspapers. Hedging does involve some risks, but they are limited and can be controlled with simple attention to the fundamentals. Risk arises from forecast inaccuracy, and can lead to unexpected price variations, either up or down. If a company over forecasts purchases and hedges with forwards, there will be larger profit or loss on the hedge than the variance on part cost. With over forecasts, there will be a loss on forward contracts if the dollar strengthens and a gain if the dollar weakens. The total unexpected gain or loss will be approximately the percent over forecasted times the percent that the dollar changed. For example, a 20 % over forecast and a 15% currency strengthening will result in a 3% (15% of 20%) extra cost of the parts. With under forecasts, some of the parts must be purchased at the spot rate without an offsetting hedge. If the dollar weakens, they will be more expensive and if it strengthens, they will be cheaper. The biggest gains in currency management will come from choosing the right currency. A good negotiator should be able to get an initial price reduction of 5% or more against a volatile currency like the yen or the mark. The next most consequential decision is whether or not to hedge. Not hedging opens the buyer to dollar price swings that are often 20% in six months. This uncertainty is unacceptable to most companies. The third decision is to choose a hedging strategy. A recent article in the International Journal of Purchasing and Materials Management showed the benefits of actively choosing a hedge strategy based on a Bayesian statistical analysis of probable outcomes. Over a five year period, actively choosing a hedge strategy would have saved 3.6 percent compared to paying in the supplier's currency (yen) without hedging, and 1.8 percent compared to always hedging with forwards. The authors did not consider options as a potential hedge strategy. If buying in the supplier's currency without hedging is unacceptably risky, and buying in dollars is excessively expensive, the choice is between hedging with forwards and hedging with options. If options were free, they would be the ideal choice, because they permit taking advantage of a stronger dollar and protect against a weaker dollar. However, options are not free, and almost always will be more expensive than forwards. If you actively analyze probabilities of currency changes as the authors in the Journal recommend, and believe that the dollar will weaken, you should use forward contracts. They will give the same results as an option but at a lower cost. If you see no clear trend, make the choice based on relative costs. During two one-year periods when the dollar had no net change against the yen, options would have saved an average of 3.5% compared to forwards, before the costs of either. If the difference in costs between an option and a forward contract is less than 3.5% and you predict no increase or decrease, consider buying an option. If you predict a strengthening dollar, an option is the better choice. During a one year period of a strengthening dollar, options would have saved 7.71% compared to forward contracts. Sun, 13 Apr 2008 09:57:00 +0200 MetaTrader 4is an online trading platform designed for financial institutions dealing with Forex, CFD, and Futures markets. The platform includes all necessary components for brokerage services via internet including the back office and dealing desk.Currently, over 100 brokerage companies and banks worldwide have chosen our solution to meet their high standards of business performance. since Mt4 platformThis application provides a professional online trading terminal for institutions such as FOREX, CFD’S, Futures and Stocks. It allows you to monitor the markets and its trends automatically using the advanced charting options. It has powerful tools which would help you in planning your own strategies through the Expert Advisors. The tool helps keep track of all updations in the market without the need for constant monitoring. It is extremely useful to trading in brokerage firms, banks and financial institutions. You can write customized indicators to suit your requirements if the standard technical indicators need to be adjusted. You can view all your accounts and portfolios on the interface. Sat, 12 Apr 2008 08:06:00 +0200 Reason why using forex broker that enabled e-gold, liberty reserve, webmoney and other digital currency is because it's easier. we can deposit to them instantly and they process the payment faster than using wire transfer or credit card. nowdays alot forex broker offer digital currencies as deposit and witdrawal method. in the future i believe more and more broker using digital currencies as deposit and withdrawal :)
for reference list of forex broker using DGC's as deposit/withdrawal. you can visit here http://www.ibforexindo.com/search/label/Forex%20Broker Sat, 12 Apr 2008 07:32:00 +0200 Hi all, Just finished my new forex blog. you can visit there for more reference about forex broker :)
http://www.ibforexindo.com/ Thu, 27 Mar 2008 22:23:00 +0100 Leonardo Pisano, better known by his nickname, Fibonacci, was an Italian mathematician born in Pisa in the 12th century. He is known to have discovered the Fibonacci numbers, said to be based upon observations of the Great Pyramid of Gizeh in Egypt. Fibonacci Numbers are a sequence of numbers where each successive number is the sum of the two previous numbers.
e.g. 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, etc. It is the ratio of the Fibonacci sequence that is significant, rather than the actual numbers in the sequence. The quotient of the adjacent terms in the series possesses an amazing proportion, roughly 1.618, or its inverse 0.618. This proportion is known by many names: the golden ratio, the golden mean, PHI, and the divine proportion. The dimensional properties that adhere to the ratio of 1.618 occur repeatedly in nature. Examples are as various as mollusk shells and the shapes of gallaxies containing billions of stars. When used in technical analysis, the golden ratio is most often translated into three percentages: – 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. However, other multiples can be used, such as 23.6%, 161.8%, 423%, and so on. The Fibonacci sequence is applied to finance in several ways: retracements, extensions, arcs, fans, and time zones Forex Fibonacci Calculator v2.1 is a simple and useful tool that will help you to calculate Fibonacci extension and retracement levels for the market price. You will be able to anticipate market price moves and plan future trades according to the calculated results. Note, that calculation formulas will differ for uptrend and downtrend moves, therefore use appropriate panel in the Calculator to input price values. You can also find those formulas used for calculating Fibonacci levels on the program panel below. In order to calculate Fibonacci levels with this program traders need to fill in High and Low values for the price and click on "Calculate!" Tip: Change default field "Decimal places" to get desired number of decimal places for calculated results. Fibonacci calculations can be used for any currency pair and with any time frame. However, the bigger the time frame, the more accurate results traders should expect applying Fibonacci calculations. Forex Fibonacci Calculator must be used only as a helping(!) tool for planning future trades. No liability will be taken for any losses or unwanted results caused by following the calculations obtained by using Forex Fibonacci Calculator. We wish you profitable trading and hope this tool will help you to make one step forward in achieving your trading goals. Dowload Forex Fibonacci Calculator here Download here Sat, 03 Nov 2007 12:47:00 +0100 Scalping is a trading style specializing in taking profits on small price changes, generally soon after a trade has been entered and has become profitable. It requires a trader to have a strict exit strategy because one large loss could eliminate the many small gains that the trader has worked to obtain. Having the right tools such as a live feed, a direct-access broker and the stamina to place many trades is required for this strategy to be successful.
Scalping is based on an assumption that most stocks will complete the first stage of a movement (a stock will move in the desired direction for a brief time but where it goes from there is uncertain); some of the stocks will cease to advance and others will continue. A scalper intends to take as many small profits as possible, not allowing them to evaporate. Such an approach is the opposite of the "let your profits run" mindset, which attempts to optimize positive trading results by increasing the size of winning trades while letting others reverse. Scalping achieves results by increasing the number of winners and sacrificing the size of the wins. It's not uncommon for a trader of a longer time frame to achieve positive results by winning only half or even less of his or her trades - it's just that the wins are much bigger than the losses. A successful scalper, however, will have a much higher ratio of winning trades versus losing ones while keeping profits roughly equal or slightly bigger than losses. The main premises of scalping are: * Lessened exposure limits risk - A brief exposure to the market diminishes the probability of running into an adverse event. * Smaller moves are easier to obtain - A bigger imbalance of supply and demand is needed to warrant bigger price changes. It is easier for a stock to make a 10 cent move than it is to make a $1 move. * Smaller moves are more frequent than larger ones - Even during relatively quiet markets there are many small movements that a scalper can exploit. Scalping can be adopted as a primary or supplementary style of trading. Primary Style A pure scalper will make a number of trades a day, between five and 10 to hundreds. A scalper will mostly utilize one-minute charts since the time frame is small and he or she needs to see the setups as they shape up as close to real time as possible. Quote systems Nasdaq Level II, TotalView and/or Times and Sales are essential tools for this type of trading. Automatic instant execution of orders is crucial to a scalper, so a direct-access broker is the favored weapon of choice. Supplementary Style Traders of other time frames can use scalping as a supplementary approach in several ways. The most obvious way is to use it when the market is choppy or locked in a narrow range. When there are no trends in a longer time frame, going to a shorter time frame can reveal visible and exploitable trends, which can lead a trader to scalp. Another way to add scalping to longer time-frame trades is through the so-called "umbrella" concept. This approach allows a trader to improve his or her cost basis and maximize a profit. Umbrella trades are done in the following way: * A trader initiates a position for a longer time-frame trade. * While the main trade develops, a trader identifies new setups in a shorter time frame in the direction of the main trade, entering and exiting them by the principles of scalping. Practically any trading system, based on particular setups, can be used for the purposes of scalping. In this regard, scalping can be seen as a kind of method of risk management. Basically any trade can be turned into a scalp by taking a profit near the 1:1 risk/reward ratio. This means that the size of profit taken equals the size of a stop dictated by the setup. If, for instance, a trader enters his or her position for a scalp trade at $20 with an initial stop at $19.90, then the risk is 10 cents; this means a 1:1 risk/reward ratio will be reached at $20.10. Scalp trades can be executed on both long and short sides. They can be done on breakouts or in range-bound trading. Many traditional chart formations, such as a cup and handle or triangle, can be used for scalping. The same can be said about technical indicators if a trader bases decisions on them. Three Types of Scalping The first type of scalping is referred as "market making", whereby a scalper tries to capitalize on the spread by simultaneously posting a bid and an offer for a specific stock. Obviously, this strategy can succeed only on mostly immobile stocks that trade big volume without any real price change. This kind of scalping is immensely hard to do successfully as a trader must compete with market makers for the shares on both bids and offers. Also, the profit is so small that any stock's movement against the trader's position warrants a loss exceeding his or her original profit target. The other two styles are based on a more traditional approach and require a moving stock where prices change rapidly. These two styles also require a sound strategy and method of reading the movement. The second type of scalping is done by purchasing a large number of shares that are sold for a gain on a very small price movement. A trader of this style will enter into positions for several thousand shares and wait for a small move, which is usually measured in cents. Such an approach requires highly liquid stock to allow for entering and exiting 3,000 to 10,000 shares easily. The third type of scalping is the closest to traditional methods of trading. A trader enters an amount of shares on any setup or signal from his or her system, and closes the position as soon as the first exit signal is generated near the 1:1 risk/reward ratio, calculated as described earlier. Scalping can be very profitable for traders who decide to use it as a primary strategy or even those who use it to supplement other types of trading. Adhering to the strict exit strategy is the key to making small profits compound into large gains. The brief amount of market exposure and the frequency of small moves are key attributes that are the reasons why this strategy is popular among many types of traders. Sun, 05 Aug 2007 12:30:00 +0200 I found this forex indicator from my friend, this indicator help u to find where the buy and sell level. My advice for using this indicator is buy or sell from buy/sell area with TP 20 pips and S/l 30 pips
 Download here Fri, 20 Jul 2007 03:06:00 +0200 Here is one of metatrader indicator that i use for forex trading. this indicator is very useful. it can automatically draw trend for u. so u don't have to draw manually and save ur time to analyze the market
 Download here Sun, 08 Jul 2007 14:35:00 +0200 After BOE increase their rate last thursday GU come down as market exepected. current price is 2.0104, drop from 2.0200. this condition is much affected by technical rather than fundamental, since i can see all indicator say it's already overbought. i'm expecting GU will Come down till 1.9900 area before it continue to move upward till 2.0300. There are some high impact news will be realesed from UK and US. from UK there are PPI Input on moday forcasted to be bad. and also released data fo Trade balance from UK and US. both data will affect the market. choppy market will be expected. next week will be interesting, every issue can ruin all the scenarion. happy trading :)
Wed, 04 Jul 2007 11:32:00 +0200 There are hundreds forex indicator in Forex. these indicator basically is a script or program writen using program language here are some good forex indicator :
Simple Moving Average (SMA) - The average price of a given time period, (5 minutes, 10 minutes, 1 day, etc.) where each of the chosen periods carries the same weight for the average. Example using the closing prices of the USD/JPY currency pair: Day 1 close = 124.00, Day 2 close = 126.00, Day 3 close = 124.00, Day 4 close = 126.00; The 4-day SMA is 125.00 (the average of the prior four closes). Exponential Moving Average (EMA) - Here, the averages are calculated with the recent forex rates carrying more weight in the overall average; for example: In a 10-day exponential moving average, the last 5 days will have more effect on the average than the first 5 days. The idea is to use the most recent data as a better indication of trend direction. Bollinger Bands - The basic interpretation of Bollinger Bands is that prices tend to stay within the upper and lower bands. The distinctive characteristic of Bollinger Bands is that the spacing between the bands varies based on the volatility of the prices. During periods of extreme currency price changes (i.e., high volatility), the bands widen to become more forgiving. During periods of low volatility, the bands narrow to contain currency prices. The bands are plotted two standard deviations above and below a simple moving average. They indicate a "sell" when above the moving average (or close to the upper band) and a "buy" when below it (or close to the lower band). The bands are used by some forex traders in conjunction with other analyses, including RSI, MACD, CCI, and Rate of Change. Parabolic SAR - The Parabolic SAR (stop-and-reversal) is a time/price trend following system used to set trailing price stops. The Parabolic SAR provides excellent exit points. Forex traders using this technical indicator should close long positions when the price falls below the SAR and close short positions when the price rises above the SAR. If you are long (i.e., the price is above the SAR), the SAR will move up every day, regardless of the direction the price is moving. The amount the SAR moves up depends on the amount that currency rates move. Rate of Change - The oldest closing price divided into the most recent one. RSI (Relative Strength Index) - The RSI is a price-following oscillator that ranges between 0 and 100. A popular method of analyzing the RSI is to look for a divergence in which the currency price is making a new high, but the RSI is failing to surpass its previous high. This divergence is an indication of an impending reversal. When the RSI then turns down and falls below its most recent trough, it is said to have completed a "failure swing." The failure swing is considered a confirmation of the impending reversal in the price of the currency. Stochastics - Stochastic studies are based on the premise that as prices rise, closing prices tend to be near the high value. Conversely, as prices fall, closing prices are near the low for the period. Stochastic studies are made of two lines, %D and %K, that move between a scale of 0 and 100. The %D line is the moving average over a specified period of time of the %K line. The %K line measures where the closing price of a currency is compared to the price range for a given number of periods. Momentum - Designed to measure the rate of price change, not the actual price level. Consists of the net difference between the current closing price and the oldest closing price from a predetermined period. The Momentum indicator can be used as either a trend-following oscillator similar to the MACD or as a leading indicator. MACD - Moving Average Convergence/Divergence - Consists of two exponential moving averages that are plotted against the zero line. The zero line represents the times the values of the two moving averages are identical. The MACD is calculated by subtracting a 26-day moving average of a currency's price from a 12-day moving average of its price. The result is an indicator that oscillates above and below zero. When the MACD is above zero, it means the 12-day moving average is higher than the 26-day moving average. This is bullish as it shows that current expectations (i.e., the 12-day moving average) are more bullish than previous expectations (i.e., the 26-day average). This implies a bullish, or upward, shift in the forex rate. When the MACD falls below zero, it means that the 12-day moving average is less than the 26-day moving average, implying a bearish shift in the currency. ADX - Measures the strength of a prevailing currency trend and whether or not there is direction in the currency market. Plotted from zero on up, usually a reading above 25 can be considered directional. William's %R - A momentum indicator that measures overbought/oversold levels in the price of a currency. The interpretation of Williams' %R is very similar to that of the Stochastic Oscillator, except that %R is plotted upside-down and the Stochastic Oscillator has internal smoothing. Readings in the range of 80 to 100% indicate oversold, while readings in the 0 to 20% range suggest overbought. Volatility - Measures the overall volatility of a currency in a given time period. Sun, 01 Jul 2007 00:42:00 +0200 The DeMarker indicator is an attempt to overcome the shortcomings of classical overbought / oversold indicators. In Forex The DeMarker Indicator identifies potential price bottoms and tops. It accomplishes this by making price comparisons from one bar to the next and measuring the level of price demand here is the formula highm = IIF( H > Ref( H, -1 ), H - Ref( H, - 1), 0 ); Tue, 26 Jun 2007 05:48:00 +0200 The Holy Grail is often referred to in trading circles as the perfect trading system; the perfect conditions or indicator that will guarantee success in every trade you enter. All traders at some stage undertake the search for the Holy Grail whether it is consciously or subconsciously. The reality of trading is that there is no such trading system in existence. It never has existed and never will. The fact that some software packages label an indicator the ‘Holy Grail’ only serves to whet the appetite of some people further and arouse their suspicion of what it could be and how they will find it. It is also widely accepted that your own psychology or mindset is the largest single determinant of your trading success followed by your ability to manage risk. The small remainder of the ingredients to your trading success is your system which includes your entry signal. When most traders start trading, they spend most of their time on developing their entry conditions. They will learn about various technical indicators, trends and chart patterns, and how they can be interpreted and applied to their trading. In his book ‘Market Wizards’, Jack Schwager interviews numerous profitable traders in the United States. There is an interesting observation to be made about most of them. Often Schwager asked if they were to start trading again, what would they do differently. Many answered that they would not have wasted as much time initially on their entry signals and they would have rather spent that time concentrating and developing their risk management rules and working on their own mindset or psychology. When trading does not go well for most traders though, they begin to wonder what part of their entry conditions is failing them. Thoughts like is it the data they are using, the software, should they use different moving averages like weighted or exponential, or look at hourly data. It is obvious that entry conditions are a necessary part of any trading plan but their importance is often overrated. Numerous texts have been written about various entry signals yet not enough focus on what is really important to trading. This may not help the beginner who naturally assumes that their entry signal is the most important part of their trading plan and therefore they shall spend most of their time developing that. Unfortunately some traders who have looked for the Holy Grail try to lay the blame for their lack of success on external factors. It might be the software they are using or the new entry signal they acquired from reading a book, but at the end of the day they should look no further than themselves. Successful traders have numerous personal traits in common. They are focussed, disciplined, passionate, and are totally committed to their trading. They are humble and always prepared to learn from their mistakes. The Holy Grail of trading has never existed and never will. Wed, 20 Jun 2007 20:57:00 +0200 The Elliott wave principle (1871–1948), a professional , or wave principle, is a form of technical analysis that investors use to forecast trends in the financial markets and other collective activities. Ralph Nelson Elliottaccountant, developed the concept in the 1930s, proposing that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves, or simply waves. He published his views of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle (1938), in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and most fully in his final major work, Nature’s Laws – The Secret of the Universe (1946). Elliott said that "because man is subject to rhythmical procedure, calculations having to do with his activities can be projected far into the future with a justification and certainty heretofore unattainable." lliott Wave analysts (or "Elliotticians") say that they may not even need to look at a price chart to determine where a market lies in its wave pattern. Each wave has its own "signature," which often reflects the psychology of the moment. Understanding how and why the waves develop is the key to applying the Wave Principle; that understanding includes recognizing the characteristics described below. These wave characteristics assume a bull market in equities. The characteristics apply in reverse in bear markets.
Tue, 19 Jun 2007 01:56:00 +0200 244.50 cannot hold Gj yesterday, so i open another buy position on 244.40. as i said before if it break that level G/J will continue to rise, probably until 250. my advice is keep buy dips when u see small correction on this pair. do not sell unless u got very positif signal for shorting this beast. stay aware with major correction, don't forget to put ur stop loss. Happy Trading :)
Sun, 17 Jun 2007 23:50:00 +0200 EUR-USD
Open = 1.3310 High = 1.3386 Low = 1.3305 Close = 1.3378 Pivot = 1.3356 Support and resistance for june 18 2007 R1 = 1.3408 R2 = 1.3437 R3 = 1.3489 S1 = 1.3327 S2 = 1.3275 S3 = 1.3246 GBP-USD Open = 1.9693 High = 1.9779 Low = 1.9688 Close = 1.9752 Pivot = 1.9740 Support and resistance for june 18 2007 R1 = 1.9791 R2 = 1.9831 R3 = 1.9882 S1 = 1.9700 S2 = 1.9649 S3 = 1.9609 Sun, 17 Jun 2007 16:29:00 +0200 GJ now at a very high position. selling this pair will be good if she cannot break 244.40. My indicator say that G/J now is overbought. next week will be a nice drop for this pair. but becarefull, BOJ are hold the interest rate. and not planning to hike interest rate till september. so the overall trend is still Bullish. this down scenario will fail if G/j break 245, in that case we might see 250 very soon
Sun, 17 Jun 2007 12:25:00 +0200 The simplest way to open position without reading any chart is by using traditional pivot point. but of course u still need confirmation from indicator wether the market trend is UP or Down. here are some ways to Trade using pivot points
Fri, 15 Jun 2007 08:45:00 +0200 EUR-USD Thu, 14 Jun 2007 05:37:00 +0200 EUR-USD
Open = 1.3302 High = 1.3315 Low = 1.3264 Close = 1.331 Pivot = 1.3296 Support and resistance for june 14 2007 R1 = 1.3329 R2 = 1.3347 R3 = 1.3380 S1 = 1.3278 S2 = 1.3245 S3 = 1.3227 GBP-USD Open = 1.9742 High = 1.9764 Low = 1.9677 Close = 1.9726 Pivot = 1.9722 Support and resistance for june 14 2007 R1 = 1.9768 R2 = 1.9809 R3 = 1.9855 S1 = 1.9681 S2 = 1.9635 S3 = 1.9594 Wed, 13 Jun 2007 08:49:00 +0200 The main difference between fundamental and technical analysis consists in that technical analysis is the study of charts, trend lines, support, resistance levels and patterns. Technical traders follow this data in order to predict the direction a currency will take. Fundamental analysis includes the analysis and interpretation of global events, economic, political, financial events and other variables that may cause a currency to fluctuate. Technical Analysis operates on the theory that market prices at any given point in time reflect all known factors affecting supply and demand for a particular market. Consequently, technical analysis focuses, not on evaluating those factors directly, but on an analysis of market prices themselves. This approach theorize that a detailed analysis of, among other things, actual daily, weekly and monthly price fluctuations is the most effective means of attempting to capitalize on the future course of price movements. Technical strategies generally utilize a series of mathematical measurements and calculations designed to monitor market activity. Trading decisions are based on signals generated by charts, manual calculations, computers or their combinations. While technical analysis concentrates on the study of market action, fundamental analysis focuses on the economic forces which cause prices to move higher, or lower, or stay the same. The intrinsic value is what the fundamentals indicate one currency is actually worth against another currency. If this intrinsic value is under the current market price, then the currency is overpriced and should be sold. If market price is below the intrinsic value, then the market is undervalued and should be bought. Both of these approaches to market forecasting attempt to solve the same problem, that is, to determine the direction prices are likely to move. They just approach the problem from different directions. A "fundamentalist" studies the cause of market movement, while a technician studies the effect. Most market traders classify themselves as either technicians or fundamentalists. In reality, there is a lot of overlap. Most fundamentalists have a working knowledge of the basic tenets of chart analysis. At the same time, most technicians have at least a passing awareness of the fundamentals. The problem is that the charts and fundamentals are often in conflict with each other. Usually at the beginning of important market moves, the fundamentals do not explain or support what the market seems to be doing. It is at these critical times in the trend that these two approaches seem to differ the most. Fundamental Analysis is based on the study of factors external to the trading markets which affect the supply and demand of a particular market. It is in stark contrast to technical analysis since it focuses, not on price but on factors like weather, government policies, domestic and foreign political and economic events and changing trade prospects. Fundamental analysis theorizes that by monitoring relevant supply and demand factors for a particular market, a state of current or potential disequilibrium of market conditions may be identified before the state has been reflected in the price level of that market. Fundamental analysis assumes that markets are imperfect, that information is not instantaneously assimilated or disseminated and that econometric models can be constructed to generate equilibrium prices, which may indicate that current prices are inconsistent with underlying economic conditions, and will, accordingly, change in the future. Wed, 13 Jun 2007 07:41:00 +0200 EUR-USD
Open = 1.3357 High = 1.3369 Low = 1.3301 Close = 1.3302 Pivot = 1.3324 Support and resistance for june 13 2007 R1 = 1.3347 R2 = 1.3392 R3 = 1.3415 S1 = 1.3279 S2 = 1.3256 S3 = 1.3211 GBP-USD Open = 1.9692 High = 1.9783 Low = 1.9688 Close = 1.974 Pivot = 1.9737 Support and resistance for june 13 2007 R1 = 1.9786 R2 = 1.9832 R3 = 1.9881 S1 = 1.9691 S2 = 1.9642 S3 = 1.9596 Tue, 12 Jun 2007 12:19:00 +0200 Today UK CPI comes out worse than expected but UK trade balance comes out better than expected. overall news from UK coming out better than forcasted. i believe if today break support at 1.9790 today, then 2.050 is coming out soon this week. buy position is preferable in this pair. have a good trade
Mon, 11 Jun 2007 10:56:00 +0200 Today UK PPI input come out better than forcasted, previous value was 0.2% and up till 1.2 %. but yet GBP/USD go around 1.9670-1690. My advice is, if it break 1.9720 then consider to go long and if it break 1.9620 then we should go short in this pair. if it go no where. then better to stay out from the market today :)
Mon, 11 Jun 2007 02:48:00 +0200 EUR-USD |
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